Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 3.388547 3.591737 3.808670 4.058916 4.341439 4.652731 5.024784
2025-07-27 3.224060 3.525571 3.867489 4.289889 4.806551 5.430679 6.263275
2025-08-03 3.052277 3.419396 3.856199 4.427867 5.179269 6.171680 7.660678
2025-08-10 2.839326 3.235360 3.723096 4.389640 5.317069 6.638187 8.849931
2025-08-17 2.605399 3.000580 3.498044 4.197426 5.209039 6.730600 9.505059
2025-08-24 2.439936 2.836952 3.346738 4.082518 5.186998 6.941002 10.446755
2025-08-31 2.331036 2.736538 3.267856 4.056006 5.287263 7.366119 12.015582
2025-09-07 2.211106 2.612632 3.146022 3.952412 5.248511 7.538896 13.148736
2025-09-14 2.103021 2.497698 3.027760 3.841503 5.180466 7.640434 14.188421
2025-09-21 2.006084 2.392456 2.915993 3.729905 5.095656 7.690187 15.144293
2025-09-28 1.957367 2.350060 2.889916 3.746839 5.233111 8.226818 18.181940
2025-10-05 1.949642 2.363115 2.943419 3.892951 5.624149 9.454478 26.282652
2025-10-12 1.906166 2.329826 2.935478 3.954320 5.901926 10.645395 40.876771
2025-10-19 1.894428 2.341602 2.997043 4.143068 6.490654 13.167002 137.345691
2025-10-26 1.863444 2.323632 3.011646 4.253154 6.951995 15.873985 NaN
2025-11-02 1.801911 2.257134 2.944790 4.206628 7.041052 17.309814 NaN
2025-11-09 1.717544 2.152852 2.811401 4.022762 6.756935 16.802574 NaN
2025-11-16 1.653863 2.077211 2.720621 3.913118 6.645724 17.149595 NaN
2025-11-23 1.611067 2.031202 2.675346 3.886657 6.745649 18.811232 NaN
2025-11-30 1.557943 1.967394 2.597492 3.789762 6.640196 19.197257 NaN
2025-12-07 1.506923 1.905053 2.519278 3.686456 6.501739 19.288203 NaN
2025-12-14 1.458720 1.845518 2.443310 3.582623 6.347824 19.184358 NaN
2025-12-21 1.435156 1.822884 2.427609 3.598133 6.534628 21.957623 NaN